The Price is Wrong?

Posted on June 9th, 2014 by Matt

David Price is an outstanding pitcher by almost any measure. Through the first few years of his career, he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, and even has a Cy Young award to his name. Twice he has struck out more than 200 batters in a season, and he has also twice posted a season-long ERA of under 3.00. When talking about the best starting pitchers in the American League, no conversation would be complete without mention of the hard-throwing lefty.

All of that background makes the start to his 2014 season all that much more confusing. After ten starts, Price pricehas posted an incredible combination of 77 strikeouts to only 6 walks. Usually, strikeout and walk numbers like that lead to great success – but that has not been the case just yet for Price. After those ten starts, his ERA is 4.28 and he has just a 4-4 W/L record to his name. There have been some excellent starts included in those ten, but there have been some less-than-excellent ones as well.

Perhaps not coincidentally, the Rays have not had the start to the season that they hoped for, either. Picked by many to be a contender in the AL East this season, they have fallen to the bottom of the standings facing struggles with injuries and scoring runs. If the Rays are to fulfill preseason expectations and contend for a playoff spot, they will certainly need Price to return to his previous levels of performance.

Is he going to turn it around?

When faced with a case of a pitcher who is under-performing his career averages, it is always best to assume that he will resume his previous level at some point. That is certainly the right approach when it comes to David Price. One only has to look at the incredible strikeout and walk numbers that Price has posted so far in 2014 to see that things aren’t as bad as they might seem. If his actual pitches were not as good as they once were, it should show in his K’s and BB’s. In fact, the high ERA might come down to nothing more than plain old bad luck.

There is some measure of luck involved in all of baseball, and certainly within pitching. If a pitcher gets a batter to hit a blooper – but it falls in for a hit – the pitcher is charged with a hit given up even though he managed to induce weak contact. Considering the fact that the season is still so young, it is very possible that Price is simply in the middle of a run of bad luck and that it will soon turn around for him and the Rays. If he keeps the strikeout and walk rate at such an amazing level, it is hard to imagine that he will keep allowing runs with such frequency. It will be one of the most-interesting stories of the 2014 season to see if David Price is able to average out the bad luck and start turning in the kind of starts that we have come to expect from him during his excellent career.



2005 Upper Deck USA Baseball Opening Day Jersey Green Ink /2 David Price Auto picture
2005 Upper Deck USA Baseball Opening Day Jersey Green Ink /2 David Price Auto
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2016 Topps Chrome Sapphire Future Stars Non Red Gold  CARLOS CORREA 3/5 Non auto picture
2016 Topps Chrome Sapphire Future Stars Non Red Gold CARLOS CORREA 3/5 Non auto
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DAVID PRICE JUST MINORS AUTOGRAPHED SIGNED JERSEY -AUTHENTICATED-EARLY ACE
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David Price 2017 Game used & signed cleats Jordan Boston Red Sox PSA/DNA picture
David Price 2017 Game used & signed cleats Jordan Boston Red Sox PSA/DNA
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2008 Bowman Chrome Evan Longoria and David Price RC Dual Auto #/350 BGS 8.5/10
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2009 Topps Finest David Price Patch Auto Lot (2) /75 /285 picture
2009 Topps Finest David Price Patch Auto Lot (2) /75 /285
$800.0


Nike Los Dodgers David Price Team Issued City Connected Jersey Authentic Halo picture
Nike Los Dodgers David Price Team Issued City Connected Jersey Authentic Halo
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2018 World Series Game 2 Full Ticket 10/24 Dodgers v Red Sox PSA 8
$794.95


2019 Topps Triple Threads George Springer All-Star Game Jumbo Patch Booklet #1/1 picture
2019 Topps Triple Threads George Springer All-Star Game Jumbo Patch Booklet #1/1
$700.0


2009 Bowman Sterling GOLD REFRACTOR Dodgers DAVID PRICE RC Card /50 PSA 10 Pop 1 picture
2009 Bowman Sterling GOLD REFRACTOR Dodgers DAVID PRICE RC Card /50 PSA 10 Pop 1
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2021 National Treasures Kershaw Buehler Price May Quad Auto Printing Plate 1/1 picture
2021 National Treasures Kershaw Buehler Price May Quad Auto Printing Plate 1/1
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2015 Topps heritage black refractor JAVIER BAEZ JORGE SOLER RC 30/66 MVP BRAVES picture
2015 Topps heritage black refractor JAVIER BAEZ JORGE SOLER RC 30/66 MVP BRAVES
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